<
https://theconversation.com/what-the-coming-el-nino-climate-pattern-means-for-nz-in-a-warming-world-278201>
"After the planet’s 11 hottest years on record, scientists are warning the
return of an El Niño climate pattern could push global temperatures even
higher.
Today, the World Meteorological Organisation reported that the past decade has
been the warmest observed, with rising greenhouse gas emissions driving record
ocean heat, melting ice and more extreme weather.
On top of those findings comes the growing prospect of El Niño, which could
emerge by New Zealand’s spring and amplify the effects of global warming in the
months beyond.
At this stage, the event is expected to be moderate, resulting in global mean
sea surface temperatures of around 1C warmer than average. However, there is
still considerable uncertainty in how it will develop.
For the planet, El Niño can bring a wide range of damaging impacts, from
wildfires and drought in some regions to heavy downpours and flooding in
others.
It can also have significant impacts for New Zealand and its primary sector.
Some stand-out events – such as in 1982–83, 1997–98 and 2015–16 – caused severe
droughts that cost the economy hundreds of millions of dollars."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
