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https://theconversation.com/french-say-non-to-le-pens-national-rally-but-a-messy-coalition-government-looks-likely-234094>
"The French election results are everything except what predictions had
forecast.
Only days ago, Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party was tipped to win. But as
results came in it became clear it was the loser of these National Assembly
elections.
The far right National Rally is coming third, behind Macron’s centrist Ensemble
coalition in second. And in first place, somewhat against the odds, is the
three-week-old left-wing alliance the New Popular Front.
This is a major twist in the roller coaster that French politics has been since
June 9 when Macron called a snap election. Macron, who will serve as president
until 2027, now faces a turbulent period of government.
Results are still coming in, and will for another few hours. However, the New
Popular Front is tipped to win 177 to 192 seats, Macron’s alliance 152 to 158
seats, and the National Rally 138 to 145 seats. Only a week ago polls were
predicting 200 to 260 seats for the National Rally and a decimated Centrist
coalition. The latter certainly did better than expected, so did the moderate
right of the Les Républicains party, with 63 to 67 seats in the new house.
However, the results mean that no party will likely be able to form a
parliamentary majority on its own, and France is heading for what will likely
be a turbulent coalition government.
Overall, this election is a significant victory for the left. However, the New
Popular Front is unlikely to be able to deliver on its key electoral promises,
contrary to what divisive hard-left populist Jean-Luc Mélanchon claimed in a
victory speech he gave on behalf of La France Insoumise, the lead party within
the New Popular Front coalition."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
