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https://theconversation.com/australias-carbon-budget-may-blow-out-by-40-under-the-coalitions-nuclear-energy-plan-and-thats-the-best-case-scenario-233108>
"The Coalition’s pledge to build seven nuclear reactors, if elected, would
represent a huge shift in energy policy for Australia. It also poses serious
questions about whether this nation can meet its international climate
obligations.
If Australia is to honour the Paris Agreement to limit global average
temperature rise to 1.5˚C by mid-century, it can emit about 3 billion tonnes,
or gigatonnes, of carbon dioxide (CO₂) over the next 25 years. This remaining
allowance is what’s known as our “carbon budget”.
My colleagues and I recently outlined the technological options for Australia
to remain within its carbon budget. We did this using a tool we developed over
many years, the “One Earth Climate Model”. It’s a detailed study of pathways
for various countries to meet the 1.5˚C goal.
So what happens if we feed the Coalition’s nuclear strategy into the model? As
I outline below, even if the reactors are built, the negative impact on
Australia’s carbon emissions would be huge. Over the next decade, the
renewables transition would stall and coal and gas emissions would rise –
possibly leading to a 40% blowout in Australia’s carbon budget."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
