<
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/feb/29/el-nino-forecast-record-heat-2024-climate-crisis>
"The current climate event known as El Niño is likely to supercharge global
heating and deliver record-breaking temperatures from the Amazon to Alaska in
2024, analysis has found.
Coastal areas of India by the Bay of Bengal and by the South China Sea, as well
as the Philippines and the Caribbean, are also likely to experience
unprecedented heat in the period to June, the scientists said, after which El
Niño may weaken.
The natural phenomenon, in which heat is released from the western Pacific
Ocean, is known to increase global surface temperatures and helped 2023 smash
the record for the hottest year by a large margin. Extreme heat in the second
half of 2023 as El Niño kicked in had severe impacts on people living in North
America, Europe and China, South America and Madagascar as the climate crisis
intensified.
The new analysis uses computer models to identify the likely regional hotspots
in the first half of 2024. It also found there was a 90% chance that the global
temperature over this period would set a new record.
“Intense heatwaves and tropical cyclones, combined with [human-caused] global
sea level rise, [mean] densely populated coastal areas are facing an enormous
and urgent climate crisis that challenges our current capacity for adaptation,
mitigation and risk management,” said Dr Ning Jiang, at the Chinese Academy of
Meteorological Sciences in Beijing, and his co-authors."
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
