https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436523000385
"
Background
Prior to mid-2021, Australia’s approach to COVID-19 was to eliminate community
transmission. However, between August-November 2021, the state of Victoria,
Australia, experienced an outbreak of the Delta variant that continued to grow
despite extensive lockdowns and public health measures in place. While these
public health restrictions were ultimately unable to stop community
transmission, they likely had a major impact reducing transmission and adverse
health outcomes relative to voluntary risk-mitigation only (e.g., in response
to rising cases and deaths, some people may avoid crowded settings,
hospitality, retail, social occasions, or indoor settings). This study aims to
estimate the impact of the August-November 2021 enforced public health
restrictions in Victoria, compared to voluntary risk-mitigation only."
[...]
"
Conclusion
Public health restrictions implemented in Victoria over August-November 2021
are likely to have averted more than 120,000 hospitalizations and 5000 deaths
relative to voluntary risk-mitigation only. During a COVID-19 epidemic wave
voluntary behaviour change can reduce transmission substantially, but not to
the same extent as enforced restrictions."
Via Violet Blue’s
Pandemic Roundup: August 24, 2023
https://www.patreon.com/posts/pandemic-roundup-88174195
Cheers,
*** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/ Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/ Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/ Manager, Serious Cybernetics
