Ukraine war: why a ceasefire based on partition of territory won’t work

Sun, 10 Sep 2023 12:44:36 +1000

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/ukraine-war-why-a-ceasefire-based-on-partition-of-territory-wont-work-209750>

"Even as Ukraine’s counteroffensive pushes slowly forward, some observers are
calling for the warring sides to negotiate a ceasefire. This would create a de
facto demarcation line separating areas held by Ukrainian forces from those
under Russian control at the moment the fighting stops.

Others argue, however, that a ceasefire is unlikely to lead to a durable
settlement. For Ukraine, a truce would mean giving its adversary time to regain
strength for renewed aggression, while abandoning its citizens to the horrors
of occupation in Russian-controlled areas.

Establishing a provisional line of separation would break up long-established
administrative and economic structures. This would indefinitely prevent the
divided regions from rebuilding and restoring their inhabitants’ security and
welfare.

To understand this, let’s look back at how Soviet leaders drew the border
between Russia and Ukraine. It was this border that Ukraine inherited in 1991
after the dissolution of the Soviet Union.

And it was this border that Russian president Vladimir Putin denounced on the
eve of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, declaring that modern
Ukraine was a historical mistake arising from early Soviet border-making
policy."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

Comment via email

Home E-Mail Sponsors Index Search About Us