"Wars are world-shaping. Beyond their immediate human and physical tolls, wars
alter the fates of societies and states; of clans, cultures and leaders. They
establish new lines of access to resources and influence, determining who has
what – and who doesn’t. They set precedents for how future wars are justified
and, in the case of attempted conquest, wars can ultimately redraw the map of
One year after its unprovoked invasion on February 24, 2022, Russia’s war
against Ukraine encompasses all these dangers.
With Ukraine waging an existential battle for its very survival, and Russia
seemingly happy to settle for destroying Ukraine if it fails to conquer it,
neither side has any incentive to stop fighting.
Absent the complete collapse of either the Ukrainian or Russian armed forces,
the grim reality is that the war will likely drag on throughout 2023 – and
potentially beyond it."
*** Xanni ***
Chief Scientist, Xanadu
Partner, Glass Wings
Manager, Serious Cybernetics