Discovering the ‘honeypot’: the surprising way restricting immigration can turn out to hurt the working poor

Sun, 15 Jan 2023 05:10:58 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/discovering-the-honeypot-the-surprising-way-restricting-immigration-can-turn-out-to-hurt-the-working-poor-195192>

"Politicians around the world tout immigration restrictions as a way to fight
wage stagnation and boost the job prospects of low-paid or unemployed locals.

The Trump administration pushed the message aggressively, at one stage calling
a proposal to halve migration numbers the RAISE Act (standing for Reforming
American Immigration for a Strong Economy), saying it would raise workers’
wages and help struggling families enter the middle class.

Whether or not cutting low-skilled migration would lift working class wages
remains a highly contentious question.

My research examines the question in a broader way. Its findings – looking back
at an extraordinary time of change in US history, from the 1880s on – suggest
that while restricting immigration might at first help low-income workers, over
time it hurts those local workers. This is due to what I call the “honeypot
effect”, in which wage hikes for poor jobs keep people in poor jobs."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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